One of the best frequently mocked positions for the San Francisco 49ers in the aboriginal annular of the 2015 NFL abstract is advanced receiver. Considering the 49ers could lose Michael Crabtree, Brandon Lloyd and Stevie Johnson to chargeless bureau or salary-cap considerations, stocking up on aboriginal aptitude isn’t the affliction abstraction in the world.
Some 49ers fans, however, are afraid about acrimonious a receiver early. They point to high-profile failures such as A.J. Jenkins and Jonathan Baldwin and anguish that the accident of a first-round flameout is too high. Better, the approach goes, to aces a safer aces such as an abhorrent or arresting lineman aboriginal and again action on a receiver afterwards in the draft.
Does this approach accept any merit, or is it a case of once-bitten, twice-shy aback it comes to the adverse Jenkins pick? To try to acknowledgment that question, I went aback into the history of the abstract to attending for patterns and trends apropos the success of abstract picks.
I pulled up the careers of every amateur drafted in the aboriginal 100 picks from 1970 through 2010. I bound the chase to players in the aboriginal 100 because afterwards a assertive point, you stop annoying about accident against reward—you’re not assured any solid amount out of a
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