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One of the axial arguments that liberals are deploying adjoin the declared Republican ambition to accompany Social Security changes this Congress is that the “crisis” that conservatives are abduction on has already passed.

House Republicans anesthetized a aphorism aftermost ages blocking the alteration of tax acquirement amid Social Security’s retirement and affliction funds, which has been done assorted times in the past, unless the program’s all-embracing solvency is improved. The closing armamentarium is accepted to be clumsy to pay abounding allowances starting in 2016.

Conservative accept fabricated bright their absorbed is to accompany changes, either to the affliction armamentarium abandoned or Social Security added broadly. But the advanced adverse is that there is no crisis. The demographic and bread-and-er trends that accept put the affliction armamentarium in accident in backward 2016 accept passed. Transferring acquirement from the retirement armamentarium to the affliction armamentarium would accumulate both programs absolutely adjourned until 2033. That knocks aloof one year of abounding solvency off the retirement program, while giving 17 added years to the affliction fund.

As evidence, the advanced Center on Budget and Policy Priorities appear the aloft chart, tracking the slowing advance of Social Security affliction rolls.

“In contempo months, advance in the cardinal of DI beneficiaries has slowed to its everyman amount in 25 years,” the center’s analysts wrote.

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